Only Chelsea can stop Chelsea, Manchester City dropping points at Crystal Palace would not be a shock, and what reception will Raheem Sterling get at Arsenal?
From left: Raheem Sterling, Dick Advocaat, Radamel Falcao and Andros Townsend. Photograph: AP/IPS Photo/Rex/ PA/Getty
1) QPR see what they could have won
West Brom and QPR lost their managers around a month apart, with the surreal Alan Irvine experiment being cut short just after Christmas, and Harry Redknapp’s seemingly inevitable resignation following an unsuccessful January transfer window. Obviously the circumstances were slightly different and Rangers were in a much more perilous position but the past few months have shown exactly how and how not to arrange a managerial succession. West Brom spotted the way things were going early, moved on their underperforming manager and brought in a proven relegation firefighter, whereas QPR dithered, let their own flailing boss decide his own fate and then gave the job to a coach with no previous managerial experience. Chris Ramsey seems like a decent man and under the right circumstances could probably be a good manager, but these are very much not the right circumstances. The two squads are of comparable quality, so imagine what difference they could have made if Tony Fernandes (who, admittedly, was understandably and rightly preoccupied with other matters at the time relating to the missing AirAsia plane) or Philip Beard recognised their side was only going one way and brought in Pulis, before West Brom or anyone else had got there. As it is QPR have somehow managed to get worse after Redknapp’s departure, losing six of the seven games since Ramsey took the helm, while the Baggies have sauntered clear of trouble with only three league defeats in Pulis’s time. QPR were actually one place above West Brom on the day Irvine was shown the door; a win for the Baggies on Saturday will put them 14 points clear. Coulda, woulda, shoulda.
2) What kind of reception will Sterling get from Liverpool fans?
It’s difficult to have sympathy with a rich 20-year-old talking about money, but one of the biggest things to be taken from Raheem Sterling’s recent comments is how badly advised he has been. Sterling’s management team have a lot to answer for; their decision to organise a self-serving interview, that wasn’t sanctioned by Liverpool, is baffling. But Sterling is by no means a victim here – and he has learned the hard way that contract particulars should not be Ayre-ed in public. He simply said he wants to earn lots of money and win lots of trophies. So what? He’d probably even prefer to do it at Liverpool, if the club are willing to match his ambitions. That said, it is the timing that hurts for the fans and at the business end of the season, Liverpool supporters want to know Sterling and co are completely focused on the job at hand – reaching the Champions League – not what kind of contract or transfer their players may or may not receive. The England international has been heavily criticised for his comments, but with Daniel Sturridge again sidelined, Sterling is arguably Liverpool’s chief attacking threat for their match at Arsenal, where the Merseyside club have won only once in the last 19 matches. Sterling made a mistake, but he remains a young player that thrives on confidence. One would hope he doesn’t shy away from playing his natural game, which can be so devastating when he takes risks in the final third. Receiving criticism from one’s own fans can dent any player’s confidence, so it will be interesting to see if Liverpool supporters cheer or jeer their man at the Emirates, perhaps at a time when they need him most.
3) Only Chelsea can stop Chelsea winning the league
This Premier League season has been odd in many ways, not least in that even the team who have basically won the league don’t seem terribly keen to win the league. Chelsea are six points clear at the top of the table with a game in hand, but should arguably be even further ahead, such is the quality in their squad and the inconsistency of everyone else. Sure, they have lost only two games all season and not at all since New Year’s Day, but they have limply exited from the Champions League and FA Cup, dropped points against Burnley and Southampton and looked decidedly wobbly at Hull last time out. As the old cliché has it, the only team that can stop Chelsea winning the title is Chelsea themselves, but it sounds like José Mourinho is doing his utmost to ensure his players do not make a frightful mess of things. “Like the great manager he is, he has told us what we need to do now, which is just to stay calm,” said Diego Costa this week. “He’s right because everything depends on us now. We know that the Premier League is complicated. It’s not easy so we know we have to improve. We all need to dig in and give something extra because we have this title in our hands and we can’t let it slip away.” Of course they shouldn’t slip up against Stoke this weekend – the Potters are coasting towards the end of the season, have not won at Stamford Bridge since earning promotion to the top flight in 2008, and indeed have only scored one goal there in that time (Rory Delap, if you’re interested). The remainder of the season should be a procession to the title, but given the way things have gone this season, do not be too surprised if that doesn’t go to plan.
4) City dropping points at Palace would no longer be a shock
One of the main reasons Chelsea are sashaying clear of the rest is Manchester City’s dreadfully limp season. City were the only realistic candidates to challenge Mourinho’s men at the start of the campaign but have put up such a half-hearted defence of their title that Chelsea haven’t needed to be especially good to basically have it wrapped up before Easter. It’s reached the point now where Manuel Pellegrini’s men look more likely to finish fourth than they do first, withManchester United looking good and Arsenal also in fine form. Recent performances at Burnley and to a lesser extent Liverpool were desperate, and they face another potential problem at Selhurst Park on Monday night. Crystal Palace are now firmly snuggled in the warm safety of mid-table, the turnaround in form after Alan Pardew replaced Neil Warnock remarkable, and they’re in fine recent form too, winning three of their last four. Glenn Murray is scoring goals, Wilfried Zaha finally looks like a Premier League player after being just too good for the Championship in his first spell at the club, while Jason Puncheon is quietly emerging as a pretty excellent No10. It’s reached the point now where the reigning champions dropping points against a side who were in the relegation zone over Christmas wouldn’t really be much of a surprise.
5) Falcao’s pleas are likely to fall upon deaf ears
Radamel Falcao has got his mojo back! Sort of. Colombia’s talisman equalled his country’s goals record over the international break (scoring twice against the not-so-sturdy Bahrain backline, and netting a penalty against Kuwait) and wasted no time in reminding Manchester United of his desire to “play more minutes” before the end of the season is up. Louis van Gaal isn’t likely to take any notice in selecting his XI for Aston Villa this Saturday. Falcao has started just one of the last six matches for United, and with Wayne Rooney combining well with Marouane Fellaini and Juan Mata at the sharp end in the recent wins over Tottenham and Liverpool, Falcao should be set for another stint on the Old Trafford bench. Early in the season, Van Gaal may have afforded the No9 a chance in the starting lineup in order to jump-start his United career, as he did in this weekend’s reverse fixture at Villa Park. But as United enter the home straight, with Falcao almost certain to leave the club at the end of his loan this summer, these chances will be scant. Van Gaal’s first objective is to ensure United finish at least fourth. If United do this with games to spare, his second will be to formulate his long-term plans for next season. For all his international form, Falcao is not likely to play a part in either.
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